Z crazy thing about life is that though we make plans of z future, even plans that may sometimes include people in our lives in which we may really care about at z moment; there are many things in our lives that we simply cannot plan for. One important fact of life is that no matter wht we do, sometimes things just change. Sometimes z people that we once cared so much for will become the people that we can no longer be around, and sometimes z friends that we think will be in our lives forever somehow leave out of our lives before we can ever get a good chance to say goodbye. We must all remember that life isn't going to stop just because our plans may fall through, and just because we are heartbroken over someone leaving out of our lives. We must be able to pick up z pieces that our life shatters into sometimes, do our best to hold things together, and continue working hard towards the goals and dreams that we have set in our minds and hearts. Even though things change, and even though friends leave, we have to realize that life doesn't stop for anybody, and to never stop moving forward.........
A black swan event is an incident that occurs randomly and unexpectedly and has wide-spread ramifications. The event is usually followed with reflection and a flawed rationalization that it was inevitable. The phrase illustrates the frailty of inductive reasoning and the danger of making sweeping generalizations from limited observations. The term came from the idea that if a man saw a thousand swans and they were all white, he might logically conclude that all swans are white. The flaw in his logic is that even when the premises are true, the conclusion can still be false. In other words, just because the man has never seen a black swan, it does not mean they do not exist. As Dutch explorers discovered in 1697, black swans are simply outliers -- rare birds, unknown to Europeans until Willem de Vlamingh and his crew visited Australia. Statistician Nassim Nicholas Taleb uses the phrase black swan as a metaphor for how humans deal with unpredictable events in his 2007...
Comments
Post a Comment