If yu say you’re going to do something, DO IT! If yu say yu’re going to
be somewhere, BE THERE! If yu say yu feel something, MEAN IT! If yu
can’t, won’t, and don’t, then DON’T LIE. It’s always better to tell
people z truth up front. Don’t play games with people’s heads and
hearts. Don’t tell half-truths and expect people to trust yu when z full
truth comes out; half-truths are no better than lies. Remember, love
and friendship don’t hurt. Lying, cheating and messing with people’s
feelings and emotions hurts. Never mess with someone’s feelings just
because yu’re unsure of yours. Always be open and honest. Keep your
promises and tell z truth.
A black swan event is an incident that occurs randomly and unexpectedly and has wide-spread ramifications. The event is usually followed with reflection and a flawed rationalization that it was inevitable. The phrase illustrates the frailty of inductive reasoning and the danger of making sweeping generalizations from limited observations. The term came from the idea that if a man saw a thousand swans and they were all white, he might logically conclude that all swans are white. The flaw in his logic is that even when the premises are true, the conclusion can still be false. In other words, just because the man has never seen a black swan, it does not mean they do not exist. As Dutch explorers discovered in 1697, black swans are simply outliers -- rare birds, unknown to Europeans until Willem de Vlamingh and his crew visited Australia. Statistician Nassim Nicholas Taleb uses the phrase black swan as a metaphor for how humans deal with unpredictable events in his 2007...
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