In every endeavor there is always the risk of failure, the chance that something may go wrong but that doesn't mean that we shouldn't take that risk. Let the risk push you on. Let it make you more determined to achieve your goal. Imagine a world without risk where everything you tried was a complete success. Sounds good right. Wrong. If everything always worked out there would be no point in trying. You would never feel a sense of achievement or satisfaction. You can only feel proud of yourself for having pushed through your barriers, that you have seen the difficulty ahead but forged on regardless because you have faith in yourself. Change your perspective and think about risk or fear of failing as a good thing. Let it push you on; don't let it hold you back.
A black swan event is an incident that occurs randomly and unexpectedly and has wide-spread ramifications. The event is usually followed with reflection and a flawed rationalization that it was inevitable. The phrase illustrates the frailty of inductive reasoning and the danger of making sweeping generalizations from limited observations. The term came from the idea that if a man saw a thousand swans and they were all white, he might logically conclude that all swans are white. The flaw in his logic is that even when the premises are true, the conclusion can still be false. In other words, just because the man has never seen a black swan, it does not mean they do not exist. As Dutch explorers discovered in 1697, black swans are simply outliers -- rare birds, unknown to Europeans until Willem de Vlamingh and his crew visited Australia. Statistician Nassim Nicholas Taleb uses the phrase black swan as a metaphor for how humans deal with unpredictable events in his 2007...
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